In 2014, just 37 percent of eligible voters cast ballots, the lowest turnout rate in more than 70 years, according to the United States Elections Project. The 2014 cycle was also the sixth year of Barack Obama’s presidency, and his lower favorability ratings were a problem for Democrats.
This year could see record voter turnout, with early voting numbers already surpassing votes cast before Election Day in 2016, due in part to concerns about voting in person amid the coronavirus pandemic.
“The reality is that we’re just dealing with a fundamentally different electorate,” said Guy Cecil, who was the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s executive director in 2014 and now runs the super PAC Priorities USA.
In a presidential year, it’s also tougher for down-ballot candidates to differentiate themselves from the top of the ticket. That might not be a huge problem for Republicans. NRSC executive director Kevin McLaughlin noted that in 2016, Trump carried all but two of the states where Senate Republicans are competing this year.
But Trump has struggled to match his 2016 performance in a slew of battleground states, while his Democratic rival, former Vice President Joe Biden, has held a consistent polling lead nationally. While some Senate Republicans have underperformed Trump in the polls, the Senate race results are expected to track with the presidential results in competitive states.
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October 29, 2020 at 04:04PM
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How much can change in six years? Ask these Senate Republicans - Roll Call
"much" - Google News
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